2016 will be a robust M&A market and there are several already
public companies that might be ripe for picking, a new Merrill Lynch
analyst note predicts.
The large cash balances of large cap internet companies combined
with the suddenly attractive small-cap valuations of others may
contribute to an uptick in public companies cannibalizing each other.
Here are the seven companies that Merrill Lynch singled out in its
analyst note as M&A targets for 2016.
Groupon
Potential acquirers: Google
Reasoning: "Groupon was a target of Google before it
went public in 2012, has had recent management changes, and according
to press reports some companies may still be interested."
Merrill Lynch writes. "However, newly appointed CEO, Rich
Williams, was quoted as saying the company has not received any
takeover offers."
Stock performance: In January 2014, Groupon traded for more
than $11 a share. Two years later, the company is priced at $2.60, a
76 percent decline.
Yelp
Potential acquirers: Google, Yahoo, or Priceline
Reasoning: "Yelp could be a good fit for Google, Yahoo
and even Priceline per press articles. Its large user audience and
advertiser base has taken years to build, and could be an interesting
asset for companies trying to build a bigger mobile or local
presence," Merrill Lynch wrote.
Stock performance: At its high in March 2014, Yelp was
trading for $98 a share. Since then, the company has lost nearly
three quarters of its value and is listed for $22.15.
GrubHub
Potential acquirers: Yelp or Amazon
Reasoning: "GrubHub could be a fit with local services
providers such as Yelp to support their own restaurant delivery
businesses. In 2014, Nasdaq reported that Amazon could interested in
acquiring GrubHub as a way to accelerate its expansion into new
markets. Amazon operates its own local restaurant delivery service in
select markets and could look at GrubHub as a way to accelerate its
expansion into new markets," Merrill Lynch wrote.
Stock performance:The drop-off for GrubHub didn't come
until April 2015. Throughout 2014, GrubHub's stock rose from $34 to
around $46 a share at its peak. Since April though, GrubHub has lost
half its value and now trades around $21.
Pandora
Traders work at the kiosk where Pandora internet radio is traded
on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange June 15, 2011.
Potential acquirers: Sirius
Reasoning: "Pandora could be a target for another
music service provider. At an investor event earlier in 2015, the CEO
of Sirius indicated that Pandora could fit with the company's
strategy of monetizing the large number of automobiles that are not
subscribing or actively trialing a music service," Merrill Lynch
wrote.
Stock performance: In February 2014, Pandora stock reached
its high at $38 a share. Since then, the stock has been tumbling
lower and two years later, trades closer to $10.
TripAdvisor
Potential acquirers: Priceline or Google
Reasoning: "TripAdvisor could be a fit for OTA rival
Priceline or Google for its wealth of traveler review data, according
to Bloomberg. Priceline could also look to acquire TripAdvisor to
consolidate its share of travel bookings or limit dependence on
Google for traffic," Merrill Lynch wrote.
Stock performance: Unlike the other companies on Merrill
Lynch's list, TripAdvisor's stock has not been on a clear downward
trend the past two years. In January 2014, the stock was priced at
$84, only $12 more than the $72 it was trading at two years later.
During that time though, the company's shares have sold for as high
as $110 in June 2014 and as low as $62 in September 2015.
Potential acquirers: "a search engine", likely
Google, AOL, Yahoo, or Facebook
Reasoning: "Twitter is struggling with growing users
and press articles have highlighted that Twitter content could be a
good fit with a search engine looking for more real-time social
content to index," Merrill Lynch wrote.
Stock performance: For the first time ever, Twitter shares
have crossed below the $20 mark in January 2016. Two years ago, the
social network was trading around $60, so it's lost two-thirds of its
value.
Shutterfly
Potential acquirers: Unknown
Reasoning: "Shutterfly initiated a sales process in
mid-2014 and decided to remain independent following a strategic
review, according to Bloomberg," Merrill Lynch wrote.
Stock performance: Reaching a high of $54 in early 2014,
Shutterfly's stock has fluctuated up and down in the past two years.
While it hit a low in October 2015, trading at $35, the stock has
improved slightly to be valued at $39 to start 2016.
(via Merrill Lynch)
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